- Creationism in the schools: this popped up right away at TPM and is overblown and easy to damage-control.
“I don’t think there should be a prohibition against debate if it comes up in class. It doesn’t have to be part of the curriculum.”
She added that, if elected, she would not push the state Board of Education to add such creation-based alternatives to the state’s required curriculum.
Sounds sensible enough to me. One of the most important things kids need to develop in early grade school is their nascent BS detector—parents try to help out with that by asking, “So what’d you learn in school today.” I expect she’ll probably nip this bud in her appearances this Labor Day weekend.
- They’ll go after the State Trooper controversy. This one will backfire badly once they find out what the guy did and that Palin herself wasn’t involved. The prospect of seeing leftist defending a dirty cop must be the stuff of Karl Rove’s most ticklish dreams.
- They’ll dig up anyone who’ll say anything bad about her. The star will be a professor emeritus at the University of Idaho who’ll try to help out the Obama campaign by saying disparaging things about her scholarship while she was getting her degree there. It’ll turn out that she never took his class and he has ties to CPUSA or whatever they call themselves now and backfire.
- Obama’s campaign has already stepped into the experience trap. They’ll find that hypocrisy isn’t such a mortal sin outside of hard-left circles (see the failure of the flip-flop charges to make a whit’s difference in the 2004 campaign), and McCain’s camp will direct it into a debate about cabinet membership—McCain, not Palin, would be setting his (and the left will absolutely freak if McCain wins and names his ANSA, if it’s who I think it’ll be—one of my favorite people ever to serve publicly in the federal government); and it’ll be the inexperienced Obama, not Biden, who would assemble the Obama cabinet. That hasn’t come up yet, but it’s something that’s greatly concerned me).
- The misogyny of the “netroots” has already come out in force. Hillary’s 18,000,000 voters won’t come over in a block, but some will and these elections are won in the margins: I’ve heard compelling arguments that GWB won his first presidential election by outperforming expectations in the African-American vote in key states. They won’t peel off many traditional-Democratic voters from the under-30 crowd, but they’ll get some from the over-40 group, who’ve been around long enough to know that Roe v. Wade isn’t going to be overturned (although I’d like it to eventually be supplanted by legislation that guarantees women and their doctors freedom from prosecution for certain types of abortion and secures their privacy in such matters from future scrutiny). And I’ll guarantee that they’ll break off a large number of traditionally democratic women voters over 70 who’ll want to see a woman in power before they shuffle off their mortal coils. The amount of crossover will largely depend on how Biden behaves himself (I think the man’s a self-important buffoon who doesn’t know when to shut his pie-hole). The conventional wisdom in Democratic circles that this is a desperation move, reminiscent of Dan Quayle, or referring to Palin as “Britney” isn’t going over well as far as I can tell, even with younger women I’ve talked to who I’d consider Democrats or left-of-center independents. In any case, that line of attack is setting up such low expectations that she’d be hard pressed not to exceed them. I don’t expect her to refer to Pervez Musharaff as “The General,” for example, and she’ll know that Uribe is the president of Columbia, a nation that’ll come up later in the campaign as an example of Obama’s foreign policy naivete and manipulability during his Senate tenure.
Ed Morissey is thinking along the same lines but giving away all the plays. Give ‘em more rope, Ed!
In unrelated news, I’ve been monitoring membership in the Facebook group, I SUPPORT RUSSIA IN ITS CONFLICT WITH GEORGIA, and note that they’ve lost 125 members since last night(5250 to 5125) when Russia announced that they’re annexing S. Ossetia and Abkhazia. I’m hopeful that membership will continue to decrease over the weekend… but prepared for disappointment.
Another update: Kleinheider provides an exegesis on some of the points made in here. I would admonish him for giving away the playbook—but look at the comments he’s getting…